Wednesday, December 10, 2008
Wednesday, October 22, 2008
Sunday, October 19, 2008
Hail the new AL East overlords.
This AP photo of David Price used without permission. |
Imagine how good they will be once their other 1.1 comes of age.
Fans of AL East teams not named the Rays: Steel yourselves for the next decade of serfdom.
Saturday, October 18, 2008
J. Arnold Ross didn't say that line in 'Oil.'
Blame it on the Giants Stadium turf, Gruene. Will Hesmer would have stopped it.
Cepero was making the first start of his MLS career, and only because regular Bulls backstop Jon Conway was busted for using the juice and suspended for 10 games. Damnable.
(MSG has a good thing going with the British announcer, too.)
Thursday, October 9, 2008
Who kind of man attends a John McCain rally?
The man on the left has a mullet, enough said. The man on the right is wearing a Packers jersey. To a political rally. Where he'll be broadcast on national television.
Please vote on Nov. 4. Don't let idiots like these three hijack our country. Again.
Dangan Ressha.
Has anybody had as much success as Daisuke Matsuzaka while walking as many people as he does?
Thanks to the Baseball-Reference.com Play Index, we found the answer: kinda.
It's hard to say that walks are Daisuke Matsuzaka's Achilles Heel, since the Red Sox hurler just finished an 18-3 season with substantially fewer hits than innings pitched (128 hits in 167.2 IP), nearly a strikeout per inning (8.27 K/9), a 2.90 earned-run average and -- most notably -- a 158 ERA+. Had Cliff Lee not spent the last year hurling cowhide with the combined glory of Thor, Leonardo Da Vinci, Alan Thicke, and Sandy Koufax, Matsuzaka would have led the league in ERA+ and would be the odds-on favorite for the AL Denton True Young Award.
Still, even my colleague (a Red Sox fan) had to concede that Matsuzaka's propensity to walk batters (5.05 BB/9) doesn't make his success appear sustainable. A few unlucky bounces or centered balls and his stats wouldn't be so sanguine. But back to the original question: How rare was Daisuke Matsuzaka's 2008 season?
Pretty damned rare. The list of pitchers (min. 162 innings) since 1901 with a BB/9 greater than 5 and an ERA+ greater than 150:
| Year | ERA+ | BB/9 |
Daisuke Matsuzaka | 2008 | 158 | 5.05 |
Hal Newhouser | 1942 | 161 | 5.59 |
In other words, it hasn't happened since John McCain was a spry youngster. But maybe we set the parameters too high. Specifically, maybe we asked too much of ERA+. So we reset the study, this time using a BB/9 greater than 4.75, a H/9 less than 7 and an ERA less than 3.25.
| Year | BB/9 | H/9 | ERA | ERA+ |
Hal Newhouser | 1942 | 5.59 | 6.71 | 2.45 | 161 |
King Cole | 1910 | 4.88 | 6.53 | 1.80 | 159 |
Daisuke Matsuzaka | 2008 | 5.05 | 6.87 | 2.90 | 158 |
Nolan Ryan | 1977 | 6.14 | 5.96 | 2.77 | 141 |
Herb Score | 1955 | 6.10 | 6.26 | 2.85 | 140 |
Al Leiter | 1996 | 4.97 | 6.39 | 2.93 | 140 |
Johnny Vander Meer | 1941 | 5.01 | 6.84 | 2.82 | 129 |
Tom Cheney | 1962 | 5.04 | 6.96 | 3.17 | 128 |
Nolan Ryan | 1972 | 4.98 | 5.26 | 2.28 | 128 |
Bob Turley | 1955 | 6.46 | 6.13 | 3.06 | 123 |
Nolan Ryan | 1974 | 5.46 | 5.98 | 2.89 | 118 |
Jim Shaw | 1914 | 4.80 | 6.93 | 2.70 | 104 |
Allie Reynolds | 1943 | 4.94 | 6.34 | 2.99 | 104 |
Of the selected seasons, only Hal Newhouser and Nat Cole dominated like Matsuzaka did in 2008. Al Leiter was the most recent to do so in 1996. Before that, it hadn't been done since Nolan Ryan did it thrice in the roaring '70s.
Notice that Ryan's name appears on that list more than anybody's. Is Daisuke Matsuzaka the second coming to Nolan Ryan? Time will tell.
It's important to note that after 2003, Matsuzaka's age-22 season, he was never plagued with a large walk total while playing in Japan. Perhaps by this point, he had acquired enough status there to get close calls on balls and strikes, status he lost when he traveled across the Pacific. Could it be that umpires are to blame for Daisuke Matsuzaka's high walk totals?